Sunday, July 31, 2011

Strong thunderstorms today?

There appears to be a marginal set up today for strong to severe thunderstorms along a narrow corridor across central Minnesota.  Any storms that do pop, are working in a favorable environment of 30 to 40 knot winds to intensify.  Large hail and strong winds are the primary threats. I really don’t see much tornado potential out of this.  Storm coverage is expected to be isolated.

RUC_255_2011073113_F09_EHI3_SURFACE

The high resolution WRF-NMM forecast model, which was pretty darn good at handling the storm activity yesterday, although I failed to buy into what it was displaying, is showing some stronger activity near the Twin Cities metro by the evening hours.

today_1h_f22

Anyone with outdoor plans might want to keep an eye to the sky today for changing weather conditions!

RS

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