Friday, December 14, 2012

Sloppy weather ahead

A low pressure area is forecasted to track from the Colorado Rockies, through Iowa, and into the southern Great Lakes between now and Sunday evening.

lowtrack_ensembles_121412_121712

This low will be tapping into warmer air, allowing the majority of the precipitation to fall as rain early Saturday morning before changing over to all snow in the Twin Cities.  While I am highly confident that we will see a mixed bag, there are still differences in timing of the change over.  Right now I am forecasting the change over to snow early Saturday afternoon.  The GFS and Euro models move the system through the area faster than the NAM.  The NAM and Euro favor snow accumulations for the central portion of the state.  The models have been good with the general timing and track with this system over last weekend’s storm.  Last weekend’s storm gave me a headache with all the fluctuations!

NAM: (Saturday 6 PM)

us_namptype00-21

GFS: (Saturday 9 PM)

us_gfsptype00-18

Euro: (Saturday 9 PM)

Euro_121612_03z

I would hardly classify this weekend’s system as a storm.  One to three inches across much of central Minnesota does not really constitute a winter storm by Minnesota standards.

RS

Monday, December 10, 2012

Updated: Snow totals across Minnesota from December 8-9 storm

Here is a complete listing of snowfall reports received since midnight Sunday/Monday across the state since the snow began flying late Saturday into Sunday.  The Twin Cities metro and areas just north were in the bullseye of the storm, however, the highest snow total was reported in Renville County at Sacred Heart with 17.3 inches.  10.5 inches fell officially in the Twin Cities, setting a daily snowfall record.  In fact, MSP Airport noted snow in hourly observations during the entire 24 hour span on December 9!

snowfallmap_120912

Location County Mag.
Sacred Heart Renville 17.3
3 N Lino Lakes Anoka 16.0
Hugo Washington 15.8
Sacred Heart Renville 15.5
Granite Falls Chippewa 15.5
Isanti Isanti 15.5
HAM Lake Anoka 15.2
1 ESE Cambridge Isanti 14.9
2 N Maplewood Ramsey 14.7
Hendricks Lincoln 14.5
4 SSE Silver Creek Wright 14.0
Falcon Heights Ramsey 14.0
5 NW Roseville Anoka 13.6
2 SSE Fridley Anoka 13.6
Isanti Isanti 13.5
Forest Lake Washington 13.5
3 WSW Blaine Anoka 13.1
Monticello Wright 13.1
Ivanhoe Lincoln 13.0
Coon Rapids Anoka 13.0
8 ESE Princeton Isanti 13.0
3 NW Redwood Falls Redwood 13.0
Kingston Meeker 13.0
Coon Rapids Anoka 13.0
3 W RED Wing Goodhue 13.0
Rush City Chisago 13.0
1 E ST Michael Wright 12.7
2 SSE Fridley Anoka 12.6
5 NW Roseville Anoka 12.6
2 NNW North Branch Chisago 12.5
Hastings Dakota 12.5
Darwin Meeker 12.5
3 NE Burnsville Dakota 12.4
Montevideo Chippewa 12.0
Falcon Heights Ramsey 12.0
Chanhassen Carver 12.0
Cokato Wright 12.0
3 S Excelsior Hennepin 12.0
Minnetonka Hennepin 12.0
Willmar Kandiyohi 11.8
Mahtomedi Washington 11.8
North ST Paul Ramsey 11.7
Zimmerman Sherburne 11.6
3 NNW Minneapolis Hennepin 11.5
Stillwater Washington 11.5
Rockford Hennepin 11.5
2 W Eagan Dakota 11.5
Hanover Wright 11.5
Blaine Anoka 11.5
1 W RED Wing Goodhue 11.3
Mounds View Ramsey 11.0
NEW Market Scott 11.0
North Branch Chisago 11.0
Hastings Dakota 11.0
2 W Foley Benton 11.0
5 WSW ST Paul Ramsey 11.0
Bloomington Hennepin 11.0
Shoreview Ramsey 11.0
Hugo Washington 10.8
ST Cloud Stearns 10.8
3 NW Rockford Wright 10.8
3 N Lakeville Dakota 10.8
1 SW Edina Hennepin 10.7
3 SW Maple Grove Hennepin 10.6
Isanti Isanti 10.5
Kingston Meeker 10.5
Cottage Grove Washington 10.5
Otsego Wright 10.4
Darwin Meeker 10.3
Darwin Meeker 10.3
2 W Shakopee Scott 10.3
Minneapolis Hennepin 10.2
Reads Landing 1W Wabasha 10.2
Reads Landing 1W Wabasha 10.2
ST Louis Park Hennepin 10.2
2 SSE Fridley Anoka 10.1
5 NW Roseville Anoka 10.1
Lakeville Dakota 10.1
Louisburg Lac Qui Parle 10.0
Marshall Lyon 10.0
Sauk Rapids Benton 10.0
1 N Oakdale Washington 10.0
Milaca Mille Lacs 10.0
Marshall Lyon 10.0
2 W Prior Lake Scott 10.0
Andover Anoka 10.0
3 SW Minneapolis Hennepin 9.9
1 W Minneapolis Hennepin 9.5
Eagan Dakota 9.5
4 NE Woodbury Washington 9.5
3 SW Minneapolis Hennepin 9.5
Orono Hennepin 9.5
Murdock Swift 9.4
Richfield Hennepin 9.4
Plymouth Hennepin 9.4
2 W NEW Prague Scott 9.4
Waconia Carver 9.4
Hutchinson Mcleod 9.3
5 S Farmington Dakota 9.3
Chanhassen Carver 9.0
ST Cloud Stearns 9.0
10 N Montevideo Chippewa 9.0
Minnetrista Hennepin 9.0
Glencoe Mcleod 9.0
North ST Paul Ramsey 9.0
Credit River Scott 9.0
3 S Minneapolis Hennepin 9.0
Farmington Dakota 9.0
1 W Carver Carver 8.8
8 S Hillman Morrison 8.8
1 ESE Shakopee Scott 8.7
5 NNW Minneapolis Hennepin 8.6
3 SW Maple Grove Hennepin 8.6
Maple Grove Hennepin 8.6
8 SE Pine City Pine 8.6
3 NNW Minneapolis Hennepin 8.5
Hastings Dakota 8.5
Andover Anoka 8.5
5 SW ST Paul Ramsey 8.5
Faribault Rice 8.5
2 SSE Fridley Anoka 8.4
Long Prairie Todd 8.4
Cambridge Isanti 8.4
2 E White Bear Lake Washington 8.4
Dellwood Dodge 8.4
Watertown Carver 8.4
Redwood Falls Redwood 8.0
Wyoming Chisago 8.0
1 ENE Blaine Anoka 8.0
1 ESE Chaska Carver 8.0
Waconia Carver 8.0
Farmington Dakota 8.0
Northfield Rice 8.0
Monticello Wright 7.9
1 ESE Cambridge Isanti 7.8
Sheshebee Aitkin 7.8
3 NW Duluth St. Louis 7.8
Minneapolis Hennepin 7.7
Winona Winona 7.7
Darwin Meeker 7.5
Lakeville Dakota 7.5
1 SW Edina Hennepin 7.5
4 SW Minneapolis Hennepin 7.5
5 WSW Duluth St. Louis 7.5
Sauk Rapids Benton 7.2
2 WNW Gilman Benton 7.0
3 SW Carlos Douglas 7.0
Kingston Meeker 7.0
Brandon Douglas 7.0
3 S Excelsior Hennepin 7.0
3 E Maplewood Washington 7.0
NEW Market Scott 7.0
Rush City Chisago 7.0
ST Louis Park Hennepin 7.0
Slayton Murray 7.0
2 W Foley Benton 6.8
10 E Pine City Pine 6.8
Theilman Wabasha 6.7
Reno 3SW Houston 6.7
Rice Benton 6.6
Little Falls Morrison 6.6
Buffalo Wright 6.5
2 N Sauk Rapids Benton 6.5
NW Watertown Carver 6.5
1 WSW Stillwater Washington 6.5
2 ENE Plymouth Hennepin 6.5
NEW Hope Hennepin 6.5
North ST Paul Ramsey 6.5
Winona Winona 6.5
5 WNW Mora Kanabec 6.5
LA Crescent 1N Houston 6.4
1 SW Hinckley Pine 6.4
Minnesota City Winona 6.3
7 NW Brainerd Crow Wing 6.2
Hutchinson Mcleod 6.1
Kimball Stearns 6.0
Milaca Mille Lacs 6.0
Melrose Stearns 6.0
Annandale Wright 6.0
Little Falls Morrison 6.0
7 NE Maple Lake Wright 6.0
Long Prairie Todd 6.0
Sauk Rapids Benton 6.0
8 NNE Roosevelt Lake Of The Woods 6.0
Winthrop Sibley 6.0
Plymouth Hennepin 6.0
Leader Cass 6.0
RED Wing Goodhue 6.0
3 SSW Duluth St. Louis 6.0
Cromwell Carlton 6.0
SE Aitkin Aitkin 6.0
7 N Jeffers Cottonwood 6.0
5 NW Duluth St. Louis 6.0
NE Duluth St. Louis 6.0
Fort Ripley Crow Wing 6.0
Reads Landing 1W (3.5 Wsw Wabasha) 5.9
Otsego Wright 5.8
5 NW Duluth St. Louis 5.8
LA Crescent 1N Houston 5.8
Credit River Scott 5.5
Blaine Anoka 5.5
5 NW Duluth St. Louis 5.5
5 N Pillager Cass 5.5
Motley Morrison 5.5
Mantorville Dodge 5.5
8 NE Clear Lake Sherburne 5.4
1 SW Hinckley Pine 5.3
Pillager Cass 5.3
5 S Bruno Pine 5.3
ST Cloud Stearns 5.2
Oronoco Olmsted 5.2
2 SSE Fridley Anoka 5.1
Reno 3SW Houston 5.1
Wendell Grant 5.0
7 S Hillman Morrison 5.0
1 S Stillwater Washington 5.0
Wadena Wadena 5.0
3 SW Maple Grove Hennepin 5.0
Proctor St. Louis 5.0
Motley Morrison 5.0
1 WNW Brainerd Crow Wing 5.0
5 NW Hermantown St. Louis 5.0
3 N Becker Sherburne 4.9
Winona Winona 4.8
10 E Pine City Pine 4.7
Minneapolis Hennepin 4.7
2 SW Proctor St. Louis 4.7
Brandon Douglas 4.6
Sacred Heart Renville 4.5
3 SE Breckenridge Wilkin 4.5
ST Peter Nicollet 4.5
SE Lester Park Duluth St. Louis 4.5
Richfield Hennepin 4.3
5 NW Duluth St. Louis 4.2
Minneapolis Hennepin 4.1
8 SE Pine City Pine 4.1
6 N Mcgregor Aitkin 4.1
1 SW Hinckley Pine 4.1
Carver Carver 4.0
Rothsay Wilkin 4.0
Battle Lake Otter Tail 4.0
1 E Fergus Falls Otter Tail 4.0
5 ENE Motley Cass 4.0
Motley Morrison 4.0
5 NE Motley Cass 4.0
Leader Cass 4.0
Lakewood TWP St. Louis 4.0
Zumbrota Goodhue 4.0
5 S Bruno Pine 4.0
5 NW Canyon St. Louis 4.0
Pipestone Pipestone 4.0
Moose Lake Carlton 4.0
Rochester Olmsted 4.0
Grand Portage Cook 4.0
Rochester APT Olmsted 4.0
Holyoke Carlton 3.9
Otsego Wright 3.7
2 W Shakopee Scott 3.7
Pillager Cass 3.7
Holyoke Carlton 3.7
Warroad Roseau 3.6
Hamburg Carver 3.6
Cambridge Isanti 3.6
4 NNW Hermantown St. Louis 3.6
6 SW Cloquet Carlton 3.6
Waconia Carver 3.5
5 S Bruno Pine 3.5
2 S Brainerd Crow Wing 3.5
2 NNE Mankato Blue Earth 3.5
1 E Owatonna Steele 3.5
Saginaw St. Louis 3.5
Nashwauk Itasca 3.5
Mankato Blue Earth 3.5
Winton St. Louis 3.5
ST Charles 5N Winona 3.3
Watertown Carver 3.2
Detroit Lakes Becker 3.2
LA Crescent 1N Houston 3.2
North ST Paul Ramsey 3.1
Madelia Watonwan 3.1
Ivanhoe Lincoln 3.0
Plymouth Hennepin 3.0
Ottertail Otter Tail 3.0
Sebeka Wadena 3.0
Mora Kanabec 3.0
Pelican Rapids Otter Tail 3.0
Cambridge Isanti 3.0
Pipestone Pipestone 3.0
Blaine Anoka 3.0
Moose Lake Carlton 3.0
Mankato Blue Earth 3.0
Rochester Olmsted 3.0
Claremont 3 SSE Dodge 3.0
Cloquet Carlton 3.0
Hoyt Lakes St. Louis 3.0
8 S Eveleth St. Louis 3.0
5 NW TWO Harbors Lake 3.0
N International Falls Koochiching 3.0
Peterson 1S Fillmore 3.0
Holyoke Carlton 2.9
2 SSW Alger Lake 2.6
Greenbush Roseau 2.5
3 NE Nisswa Crow Wing 2.5
4 S Bruno Pine 2.5
LA Crescent 1N Houston 2.5
3 WNW Climax Polk 2.5
ELY St. Louis 2.5
West Duluth St. Louis 2.5
Alborn St. Louis 2.5
Nashwauk Itasca 2.5
Worthington Nobles 2.5
2 SSW Kabetogama St. Louis 2.5
2 SSW Kabetogama St. Louis 2.5
ST Charles 5N Winona 2.3
Austin 1 W Mower 2.3
Madelia Watonwan 2.1
Wadena Wadena 2.1
6 E Pelican Rapids Otter Tail 2.1
Brandon Douglas 2.0
Detroit Lakes Becker 2.0
1 N Prior Lake Scott 2.0
3 N Brainerd Crow Wing 2.0
Moose Lake Carlton 2.0
Long Lost Lake Clearwater 2.0
Mankato Blue Earth 2.0
Rochester Airport Olmsted 2.0
Oronoco Olmsted 2.0
3 E Payne St. Louis 2.0
5 NW TWO Harbors Lake 2.0
Owatonna Steele 2.0
Austin 1 W Mower 2.0
Floodwood St. Louis 2.0
2 SE Wabana Lake Itasca 2.0
1 SW Walker Cass 2.0
International Falls Koochiching 1.8
6 NNE Angus Polk 1.8
Lake Park Becker 1.8
Moorhead Clay 1.7
2 N Moorhead Clay 1.7
Lutsen Cook 1.7
1 SW Maple Grove Hennepin 1.5
3 E ORR St. Louis 1.5
RED Lake Falls Red Lake 1.5
Askov Pine 1.5
Reno Houston 1.5
Larsmont Lake 1.5
Holyoke Carlton 1.4
Goodview Winona 1.3
ST Charles 5N Winona 1.3
2 SW Cotton St. Louis 1.2
Sabin Clay 1.2
1 ENE Minnesota Lake Faribault 1.2
Bemidji Beltrami 1.2
Lake George Hubbard 1.2
Rochester Asos Olmsted 1.1
Pipestone Pipestone 1.0
Slayton Murray 1.0
Windom Cottonwood 1.0
Jackson Jackson 1.0
Minneapolis Hennepin 1.0
ST James Watonwan 1.0
Embarrass St. Louis 1.0
Embarrass St. Louis 1.0
NEW Prague Scott 1.0
RED Wing Goodhue 1.0
NEW ULM Brown 1.0
1 NNE Worthington Nobles 1.0
5 NW TWO Harbors Lake 1.0
Cloquet Carlton 1.0
15 N Grand Rapids Itasca 1.0
4 NE Waskish Beltrami 1.0
Owatonna Steele 1.0
10 SW ELY St. Louis 1.0
Mankato Blue Earth 1.0
Rochester Olmsted 1.0
Faribault Rice 1.0
Lake Itasca Clearwater 1.0
Grand Marais Cook 1.0
6 N Mcgregor Aitkin 0.8
Brimson St. Louis 0.8
5 NW Duluth St. Louis 0.7
Wabasha Wabasha 0.6
Luverne Rock 0.5
Rochester Olmsted 0.5
Cloquet Carlton 0.5
Mankato Blue Earth 0.5
Mankato Blue Earth 0.5
Winnebago Faribault 0.5
3 E Bemidji Beltrami 0.5
Loon Lake Cook 0.5
Dodge Center Dodge 0.4
Fairmont Martin 0.4
Minnesota City DAM 5 Winona 0.3
Austin Kaal TV Mower 0.3
Faribault Rice 0.2
Winona Winona 0.1
Winona DAM 5A Winona 0.1

 

RS