Sloppy weather ahead

A low pressure area is forecasted to track from the Colorado Rockies, through Iowa, and into the southern Great Lakes between now and Sunday evening.

This low will be tapping into warmer air, allowing the majority of the precipitation to fall as rain early Saturday morning before changing over to all snow in the Twin Cities.  While I am highly confident that we will see a mixed bag, there are still differences in timing of the change over.  Right now I am forecasting the change over to snow early Saturday afternoon.  The GFS and Euro models move the system through the area faster than the NAM.  The NAM and Euro favor snow accumulations for the central portion of the state.  The models have been good with the general timing and track with this system over last weekend’s storm.  Last weekend’s storm gave me a headache with all the fluctuations!

NAM: (Saturday 6 PM)

GFS: (Saturday 9 PM)

Euro: (Saturday 9 PM)

I would hardly classify this weekend’s system as a storm.  One to three inches across much of central Minnesota does not really constitute a winter storm by Minnesota standards.

RS

Updated: Snow totals across Minnesota from December 8-9 storm

Here is a complete listing of snowfall reports received since midnight Sunday/Monday across the state since the snow began flying late Saturday into Sunday.  The Twin Cities metro and areas just north were in the bullseye of the storm, however, the highest snow total was reported in Renville County at Sacred Heart with 17.3 inches.  10.5 inches fell officially in the Twin Cities, setting a daily snowfall record.  In fact, MSP Airport noted snow in hourly observations during the entire 24 hour span on December 9!

Location	County	Mag.
Sacred Heart	Renville	17.3
3 N Lino Lakes	Anoka	16.0
Hugo	Washington	15.8
Sacred Heart	Renville	15.5
Granite Falls	Chippewa	15.5
Isanti	Isanti	15.5
HAM Lake	Anoka	15.2
1 ESE Cambridge	Isanti	14.9
2 N Maplewood	Ramsey	14.7
Hendricks	Lincoln	14.5
4 SSE Silver Creek	Wright	14.0
Falcon Heights	Ramsey	14.0
5 NW Roseville	Anoka	13.6
2 SSE Fridley	Anoka	13.6
Isanti	Isanti	13.5
Forest Lake	Washington	13.5
3 WSW Blaine	Anoka	13.1
Monticello	Wright	13.1
Ivanhoe	Lincoln	13.0
Coon Rapids	Anoka	13.0
8 ESE Princeton	Isanti	13.0
3 NW Redwood Falls	Redwood	13.0
Kingston	Meeker	13.0
Coon Rapids	Anoka	13.0
3 W RED Wing	Goodhue	13.0
Rush City	Chisago	13.0
1 E ST Michael	Wright	12.7
2 SSE Fridley	Anoka	12.6
5 NW Roseville	Anoka	12.6
2 NNW North Branch	Chisago	12.5
Hastings	Dakota	12.5
Darwin	Meeker	12.5
3 NE Burnsville	Dakota	12.4
Montevideo	Chippewa	12.0
Falcon Heights	Ramsey	12.0
Chanhassen	Carver	12.0
Cokato	Wright	12.0
3 S Excelsior	Hennepin	12.0
Minnetonka	Hennepin	12.0
Willmar	Kandiyohi	11.8
Mahtomedi	Washington	11.8
North ST Paul	Ramsey	11.7
Zimmerman	Sherburne	11.6
3 NNW Minneapolis	Hennepin	11.5
Stillwater	Washington	11.5
Rockford	Hennepin	11.5
2 W Eagan	Dakota	11.5
Hanover	Wright	11.5
Blaine	Anoka	11.5
1 W RED Wing	Goodhue	11.3
Mounds View	Ramsey	11.0
NEW Market	Scott	11.0
North Branch	Chisago	11.0
Hastings	Dakota	11.0
2 W Foley	Benton	11.0
5 WSW ST Paul	Ramsey	11.0
Bloomington	Hennepin	11.0
Shoreview	Ramsey	11.0
Hugo	Washington	10.8
ST Cloud	Stearns	10.8
3 NW Rockford	Wright	10.8
3 N Lakeville	Dakota	10.8
1 SW Edina	Hennepin	10.7
3 SW Maple Grove	Hennepin	10.6
Isanti	Isanti	10.5
Kingston	Meeker	10.5
Cottage Grove	Washington	10.5
Otsego	Wright	10.4
Darwin	Meeker	10.3
Darwin	Meeker	10.3
2 W Shakopee	Scott	10.3
Minneapolis	Hennepin	10.2
Reads Landing 1W	Wabasha	10.2
Reads Landing 1W	Wabasha	10.2
ST Louis Park	Hennepin	10.2
2 SSE Fridley	Anoka	10.1
5 NW Roseville	Anoka	10.1
Lakeville	Dakota	10.1
Louisburg	Lac Qui Parle	10.0
Marshall	Lyon	10.0
Sauk Rapids	Benton	10.0
1 N Oakdale	Washington	10.0
Milaca	Mille Lacs	10.0
Marshall	Lyon	10.0
2 W Prior Lake	Scott	10.0
Andover	Anoka	10.0
3 SW Minneapolis	Hennepin	9.9
1 W Minneapolis	Hennepin	9.5
Eagan	Dakota	9.5
4 NE Woodbury	Washington	9.5
3 SW Minneapolis	Hennepin	9.5
Orono	Hennepin	9.5
Murdock	Swift	9.4
Richfield	Hennepin	9.4
Plymouth	Hennepin	9.4
2 W NEW Prague	Scott	9.4
Waconia	Carver	9.4
Hutchinson	Mcleod	9.3
5 S Farmington	Dakota	9.3
Chanhassen	Carver	9.0
ST Cloud	Stearns	9.0
10 N Montevideo	Chippewa	9.0
Minnetrista	Hennepin	9.0
Glencoe	Mcleod	9.0
North ST Paul	Ramsey	9.0
Credit River	Scott	9.0
3 S Minneapolis	Hennepin	9.0
Farmington	Dakota	9.0
1 W Carver	Carver	8.8
8 S Hillman	Morrison	8.8
1 ESE Shakopee	Scott	8.7
5 NNW Minneapolis	Hennepin	8.6
3 SW Maple Grove	Hennepin	8.6
Maple Grove	Hennepin	8.6
8 SE Pine City	Pine	8.6
3 NNW Minneapolis	Hennepin	8.5
Hastings	Dakota	8.5
Andover	Anoka	8.5
5 SW ST Paul	Ramsey	8.5
Faribault	Rice	8.5
2 SSE Fridley	Anoka	8.4
Long Prairie	Todd	8.4
Cambridge	Isanti	8.4
2 E White Bear Lake	Washington	8.4
Dellwood	Dodge	8.4
Watertown	Carver	8.4
Redwood Falls	Redwood	8.0
Wyoming	Chisago	8.0
1 ENE Blaine	Anoka	8.0
1 ESE Chaska	Carver	8.0
Waconia	Carver	8.0
Farmington	Dakota	8.0
Northfield	Rice	8.0
Monticello	Wright	7.9
1 ESE Cambridge	Isanti	7.8
Sheshebee	Aitkin	7.8
3 NW Duluth	St. Louis	7.8
Minneapolis	Hennepin	7.7
Winona	Winona	7.7
Darwin	Meeker	7.5
Lakeville	Dakota	7.5
1 SW Edina	Hennepin	7.5
4 SW Minneapolis	Hennepin	7.5
5 WSW Duluth	St. Louis	7.5
Sauk Rapids	Benton	7.2
2 WNW Gilman	Benton	7.0
3 SW Carlos	Douglas	7.0
Kingston	Meeker	7.0
Brandon	Douglas	7.0
3 S Excelsior	Hennepin	7.0
3 E Maplewood	Washington	7.0
NEW Market	Scott	7.0
Rush City	Chisago	7.0
ST Louis Park	Hennepin	7.0
Slayton	Murray	7.0
2 W Foley	Benton	6.8
10 E Pine City	Pine	6.8
Theilman	Wabasha	6.7
Reno 3SW	Houston	6.7
Rice	Benton	6.6
Little Falls	Morrison	6.6
Buffalo	Wright	6.5
2 N Sauk Rapids	Benton	6.5
NW Watertown	Carver	6.5
1 WSW Stillwater	Washington	6.5
2 ENE Plymouth	Hennepin	6.5
NEW Hope	Hennepin	6.5
North ST Paul	Ramsey	6.5
Winona	Winona	6.5
5 WNW Mora	Kanabec	6.5
LA Crescent 1N	Houston	6.4
1 SW Hinckley	Pine	6.4
Minnesota City	Winona	6.3
7 NW Brainerd	Crow Wing	6.2
Hutchinson	Mcleod	6.1
Kimball	Stearns	6.0
Milaca	Mille Lacs	6.0
Melrose	Stearns	6.0
Annandale	Wright	6.0
Little Falls	Morrison	6.0
7 NE Maple Lake	Wright	6.0
Long Prairie	Todd	6.0
Sauk Rapids	Benton	6.0
8 NNE Roosevelt	Lake Of The Woods	6.0
Winthrop	Sibley	6.0
Plymouth	Hennepin	6.0
Leader	Cass	6.0
RED Wing	Goodhue	6.0
3 SSW Duluth	St. Louis	6.0
Cromwell	Carlton	6.0
SE Aitkin	Aitkin	6.0
7 N Jeffers	Cottonwood	6.0
5 NW Duluth	St. Louis	6.0
NE Duluth	St. Louis	6.0
Fort Ripley	Crow Wing	6.0
Reads Landing 1W	(3.5 Wsw Wabasha)	5.9
Otsego	Wright	5.8
5 NW Duluth	St. Louis	5.8
LA Crescent 1N	Houston	5.8
Credit River	Scott	5.5
Blaine	Anoka	5.5
5 NW Duluth	St. Louis	5.5
5 N Pillager	Cass	5.5
Motley	Morrison	5.5
Mantorville	Dodge	5.5
8 NE Clear Lake	Sherburne	5.4
1 SW Hinckley	Pine	5.3
Pillager	Cass	5.3
5 S Bruno	Pine	5.3
ST Cloud	Stearns	5.2
Oronoco	Olmsted	5.2
2 SSE Fridley	Anoka	5.1
Reno 3SW	Houston	5.1
Wendell	Grant	5.0
7 S Hillman	Morrison	5.0
1 S Stillwater	Washington	5.0
Wadena	Wadena	5.0
3 SW Maple Grove	Hennepin	5.0
Proctor	St. Louis	5.0
Motley	Morrison	5.0
1 WNW Brainerd	Crow Wing	5.0
5 NW Hermantown	St. Louis	5.0
3 N Becker	Sherburne	4.9
Winona	Winona	4.8
10 E Pine City	Pine	4.7
Minneapolis	Hennepin	4.7
2 SW Proctor	St. Louis	4.7
Brandon	Douglas	4.6
Sacred Heart	Renville	4.5
3 SE Breckenridge	Wilkin	4.5
ST Peter	Nicollet	4.5
SE Lester Park Duluth	St. Louis	4.5
Richfield	Hennepin	4.3
5 NW Duluth	St. Louis	4.2
Minneapolis	Hennepin	4.1
8 SE Pine City	Pine	4.1
6 N Mcgregor	Aitkin	4.1
1 SW Hinckley	Pine	4.1
Carver	Carver	4.0
Rothsay	Wilkin	4.0
Battle Lake	Otter Tail	4.0
1 E Fergus Falls	Otter Tail	4.0
5 ENE Motley	Cass	4.0
Motley	Morrison	4.0
5 NE Motley	Cass	4.0
Leader	Cass	4.0
Lakewood TWP	St. Louis	4.0
Zumbrota	Goodhue	4.0
5 S Bruno	Pine	4.0
5 NW Canyon	St. Louis	4.0
Pipestone	Pipestone	4.0
Moose Lake	Carlton	4.0
Rochester	Olmsted	4.0
Grand Portage	Cook	4.0
Rochester APT	Olmsted	4.0
Holyoke	Carlton	3.9
Otsego	Wright	3.7
2 W Shakopee	Scott	3.7
Pillager	Cass	3.7
Holyoke	Carlton	3.7
Warroad	Roseau	3.6
Hamburg	Carver	3.6
Cambridge	Isanti	3.6
4 NNW Hermantown	St. Louis	3.6
6 SW Cloquet	Carlton	3.6
Waconia	Carver	3.5
5 S Bruno	Pine	3.5
2 S Brainerd	Crow Wing	3.5
2 NNE Mankato	Blue Earth	3.5
1 E Owatonna	Steele	3.5
Saginaw	St. Louis	3.5
Nashwauk	Itasca	3.5
Mankato	Blue Earth	3.5
Winton	St. Louis	3.5
ST Charles 5N	Winona	3.3
Watertown	Carver	3.2
Detroit Lakes	Becker	3.2
LA Crescent 1N	Houston	3.2
North ST Paul	Ramsey	3.1
Madelia	Watonwan	3.1
Ivanhoe	Lincoln	3.0
Plymouth	Hennepin	3.0
Ottertail	Otter Tail	3.0
Sebeka	Wadena	3.0
Mora	Kanabec	3.0
Pelican Rapids	Otter Tail	3.0
Cambridge	Isanti	3.0
Pipestone	Pipestone	3.0
Blaine	Anoka	3.0
Moose Lake	Carlton	3.0
Mankato	Blue Earth	3.0
Rochester	Olmsted	3.0
Claremont 3 SSE	Dodge	3.0
Cloquet	Carlton	3.0
Hoyt Lakes	St. Louis	3.0
8 S Eveleth	St. Louis	3.0
5 NW TWO Harbors	Lake	3.0
N International Falls	Koochiching	3.0
Peterson 1S	Fillmore	3.0
Holyoke	Carlton	2.9
2 SSW Alger	Lake	2.6
Greenbush	Roseau	2.5
3 NE Nisswa	Crow Wing	2.5
4 S Bruno	Pine	2.5
LA Crescent 1N	Houston	2.5
3 WNW Climax	Polk	2.5
ELY	St. Louis	2.5
West Duluth	St. Louis	2.5
Alborn	St. Louis	2.5
Nashwauk	Itasca	2.5
Worthington	Nobles	2.5
2 SSW Kabetogama	St. Louis	2.5
2 SSW Kabetogama	St. Louis	2.5
ST Charles 5N	Winona	2.3
Austin 1 W	Mower	2.3
Madelia	Watonwan	2.1
Wadena	Wadena	2.1
6 E Pelican Rapids	Otter Tail	2.1
Brandon	Douglas	2.0
Detroit Lakes	Becker	2.0
1 N Prior Lake	Scott	2.0
3 N Brainerd	Crow Wing	2.0
Moose Lake	Carlton	2.0
Long Lost Lake	Clearwater	2.0
Mankato	Blue Earth	2.0
Rochester Airport	Olmsted	2.0
Oronoco	Olmsted	2.0
3 E Payne	St. Louis	2.0
5 NW TWO Harbors	Lake	2.0
Owatonna	Steele	2.0
Austin 1 W	Mower	2.0
Floodwood	St. Louis	2.0
2 SE Wabana Lake	Itasca	2.0
1 SW Walker	Cass	2.0
International Falls	Koochiching	1.8
6 NNE Angus	Polk	1.8
Lake Park	Becker	1.8
Moorhead	Clay	1.7
2 N Moorhead	Clay	1.7
Lutsen	Cook	1.7
1 SW Maple Grove	Hennepin	1.5
3 E ORR	St. Louis	1.5
RED Lake Falls	Red Lake	1.5
Askov	Pine	1.5
Reno	Houston	1.5
Larsmont	Lake	1.5
Holyoke	Carlton	1.4
Goodview	Winona	1.3
ST Charles 5N	Winona	1.3
2 SW Cotton	St. Louis	1.2
Sabin	Clay	1.2
1 ENE Minnesota Lake	Faribault	1.2
Bemidji	Beltrami	1.2
Lake George	Hubbard	1.2
Rochester Asos	Olmsted	1.1
Pipestone	Pipestone	1.0
Slayton	Murray	1.0
Windom	Cottonwood	1.0
Jackson	Jackson	1.0
Minneapolis	Hennepin	1.0
ST James	Watonwan	1.0
Embarrass	St. Louis	1.0
Embarrass	St. Louis	1.0
NEW Prague	Scott	1.0
RED Wing	Goodhue	1.0
NEW ULM	Brown	1.0
1 NNE Worthington	Nobles	1.0
5 NW TWO Harbors	Lake	1.0
Cloquet	Carlton	1.0
15 N Grand Rapids	Itasca	1.0
4 NE Waskish	Beltrami	1.0
Owatonna	Steele	1.0
10 SW ELY	St. Louis	1.0
Mankato	Blue Earth	1.0
Rochester	Olmsted	1.0
Faribault	Rice	1.0
Lake Itasca	Clearwater	1.0
Grand Marais	Cook	1.0
6 N Mcgregor	Aitkin	0.8
Brimson	St. Louis	0.8
5 NW Duluth	St. Louis	0.7
Wabasha	Wabasha	0.6
Luverne	Rock	0.5
Rochester	Olmsted	0.5
Cloquet	Carlton	0.5
Mankato	Blue Earth	0.5
Mankato	Blue Earth	0.5
Winnebago	Faribault	0.5
3 E Bemidji	Beltrami	0.5
Loon Lake	Cook	0.5
Dodge Center	Dodge	0.4
Fairmont	Martin	0.4
Minnesota City DAM 5	Winona	0.3
Austin Kaal TV	Mower	0.3
Faribault	Rice	0.2
Winona	Winona	0.1
Winona DAM 5A	Winona	0.1

 

RS